EUR/USD: 2-way risks remain – OCBC

The Euro (EUR) traded sharply lower, in response to US elections. Pair was last seen at 1.0718 levels, OCBC’ FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.

EUR/USD is under the pressure

The sensitivity of EUR to US elections appears to have picked up by quite a fair bit. Threat of Trump tariff on all imports by up to 20% can hurt EUR as US was the largest partner for EU exports of goods in 2023.

Momentum is mild bullish but RSI fell. Resistance here at 1.0830 (61.8% fibo retracement of 2024 low to high), 1.09 (50% fibo), 1.0940 (100 DMA). Risks remain 2- way dependent on outcome of US election results (which is still trickling as we write).